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	<title>Comments on: Uncle Joe vs the stats freaks</title>
	<atom:link href="http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/</link>
	<description>Lollards in the high church of low culture</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 07:17:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-182362</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Jan 2007 01:35:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-182362</guid>
		<description>Hmm. To be fair, we should point out that Paul Podesta's record at the Dodgers went Year One, win division, Year Two, be very unlucky with injuries, Year Three, get run out of town by idiot hacks.

It's certainly true to say that it's not all in the statistics, but what many of the people saying that don't seem to accept is that some of it has to be. And this is why we see the likes of Neifi Perez getting multi-year contracts every winter - for all their hustle and being great clubhouse guys they're killing the team with their actual performance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmm. To be fair, we should point out that Paul Podesta&#8217;s record at the Dodgers went Year One, win division, Year Two, be very unlucky with injuries, Year Three, get run out of town by idiot hacks.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s certainly true to say that it&#8217;s not all in the statistics, but what many of the people saying that don&#8217;t seem to accept is that some of it has to be. And this is why we see the likes of Neifi Perez getting multi-year contracts every winter - for all their hustle and being great clubhouse guys they&#8217;re killing the team with their actual performance.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark M</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-153218</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jan 2007 18:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-153218</guid>
		<description>"it seemed like nothing more than common sense that a batter shouldn’t be judged by his RBI totals, or a pitcher judged by his W-L record as these figures were as much a result of his teammates’ performance as his own."

I'm with you on that – I'm all for better stats, I just don't think that Joe or I need to be able to work them out ourselves, or accept them unconditionally.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;it seemed like nothing more than common sense that a batter shouldn’t be judged by his RBI totals, or a pitcher judged by his W-L record as these figures were as much a result of his teammates’ performance as his own.&#8221;</p>
<p>I&#8217;m with you on that – I&#8217;m all for better stats, I just don&#8217;t think that Joe or I need to be able to work them out ourselves, or accept them unconditionally.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark M</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-153201</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jan 2007 18:43:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-153201</guid>
		<description>"they can’t be usefully measured, and have no particular predictive value so that their use in roster contruction is minimal at best" 

See, this is where I can't go along with the post-Jamesians: assembling a (real rather than fantasy) team is not like (say) licensing medicine, where you certainly should be incredibly wary of things you can't measure. Running a sports team, like putting together a pop group, is all about juggling personalities. Going against that leads to the situation like the one at the Los Angeles Dodgers during the reign of Paul Depodesta, where he brought Jeff Kent, a player who – rightly or wrongly – has been accused of not getting on with African-Americans, into a team that contained Milton Bradley, who can be one very angry black man, with the inevitable result that the two of them had a massive bust-up. Now, the statistics might not have predicted that, but the tiniest bit of attention to human behaviour would have...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;they can’t be usefully measured, and have no particular predictive value so that their use in roster contruction is minimal at best&#8221; </p>
<p>See, this is where I can&#8217;t go along with the post-Jamesians: assembling a (real rather than fantasy) team is not like (say) licensing medicine, where you certainly should be incredibly wary of things you can&#8217;t measure. Running a sports team, like putting together a pop group, is all about juggling personalities. Going against that leads to the situation like the one at the Los Angeles Dodgers during the reign of Paul Depodesta, where he brought Jeff Kent, a player who – rightly or wrongly – has been accused of not getting on with African-Americans, into a team that contained Milton Bradley, who can be one very angry black man, with the inevitable result that the two of them had a massive bust-up. Now, the statistics might not have predicted that, but the tiniest bit of attention to human behaviour would have&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-148863</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Dec 2006 13:48:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-148863</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Here are some of things that the most dedicated baseball stats heads don’t believe exist: momentum, team spirit, the impact of stirring speeches, players who rise to the occasion in crucial situations.&lt;/i&gt;

That's not strictly true - what they believe isn't so much that they don't exist, but that they can't be usefully measured, and have no particular predictive value so that their use in roster contruction is minimal at best.

&lt;i&gt;the extremes of post-Jamesian stat freakery have rejected ... the idea that the order in which players bats matter.&lt;/i&gt;

Not strictly true - it's simply that studies have shown that the difference the batting order makes is so small as to be effectively pointless alongside the inevitable random variations from expected performance over the course of a season.

This whole stat-fan vs old school thinking seems bizarre to me. I started watching baseball in October 1999 when my work sent me to New York during the playoffs, and I got engrossed in the Mets' playoff games, particualrly the fantastic NLCS against Atlanta. On returning to England I wanted to find out more, so naturally turned to the internet to read about baseball. It seemed odd that sabermetric people were having to be so defensive about what they said, as not having grown up with old school thinking, it seemed like nothing more than common sense that a batter shouldn't be judged by his RBI totals, or a pitcher judged by his W-L record as these figures were as much a result of his teammates' performance as his own.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Here are some of things that the most dedicated baseball stats heads don’t believe exist: momentum, team spirit, the impact of stirring speeches, players who rise to the occasion in crucial situations.</i></p>
<p>That&#8217;s not strictly true - what they believe isn&#8217;t so much that they don&#8217;t exist, but that they can&#8217;t be usefully measured, and have no particular predictive value so that their use in roster contruction is minimal at best.</p>
<p><i>the extremes of post-Jamesian stat freakery have rejected &#8230; the idea that the order in which players bats matter.</i></p>
<p>Not strictly true - it&#8217;s simply that studies have shown that the difference the batting order makes is so small as to be effectively pointless alongside the inevitable random variations from expected performance over the course of a season.</p>
<p>This whole stat-fan vs old school thinking seems bizarre to me. I started watching baseball in October 1999 when my work sent me to New York during the playoffs, and I got engrossed in the Mets&#8217; playoff games, particualrly the fantastic NLCS against Atlanta. On returning to England I wanted to find out more, so naturally turned to the internet to read about baseball. It seemed odd that sabermetric people were having to be so defensive about what they said, as not having grown up with old school thinking, it seemed like nothing more than common sense that a batter shouldn&#8217;t be judged by his RBI totals, or a pitcher judged by his W-L record as these figures were as much a result of his teammates&#8217; performance as his own.</p>
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		<title>By: pˆnk s lord sükråt cunctør</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53839</link>
		<dc:creator>pˆnk s lord sükråt cunctør</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2006 11:53:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53839</guid>
		<description>(i judge that: u&#038;k for extension of FT brand = CAKE!)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(i judge that: u&#038;k for extension of FT brand = CAKE!)</p>
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		<title>By: Mark M</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53836</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2006 11:45:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53836</guid>
		<description>I love TMS and mourn its infiltration by people from Five bloody Live.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I love TMS and mourn its infiltration by people from Five bloody Live.</p>
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		<title>By: CarsmileSteve</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53822</link>
		<dc:creator>CarsmileSteve</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Nov 2006 10:49:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53822</guid>
		<description>TMS, of course, is really an excuse for a bunch of chaps to have a jolly nice chat and some cake, occasionally interrupted by some cricket...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>TMS, of course, is really an excuse for a bunch of chaps to have a jolly nice chat and some cake, occasionally interrupted by some cricket&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: jeff w</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53594</link>
		<dc:creator>jeff w</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 18:02:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53594</guid>
		<description>Ah, right.  Well count me with the old schoolers then.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ah, right.  Well count me with the old schoolers then.</p>
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		<title>By: tracerhand</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53593</link>
		<dc:creator>tracerhand</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 17:53:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53593</guid>
		<description>There's a clubby aspect to stats freaks which hews closely to who's in fantasy leagues and who's not. This clubbiness can manifest itself in outright hatred of players that know-nothing sentimentalists seem to like but who don't produce stats that help a fantasy team win, i.e.  the Wally Backmans and David Ecksteins of the world. Which is fair enough among fantasy-league friends, but added onto the fact that fantasy leaguers will boo their own hometown team if one of its players happens to appear on a fantasy rival's roster, and you've got a portrait of a fan who has lost almost every ounce of purchase on the game itself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s a clubby aspect to stats freaks which hews closely to who&#8217;s in fantasy leagues and who&#8217;s not. This clubbiness can manifest itself in outright hatred of players that know-nothing sentimentalists seem to like but who don&#8217;t produce stats that help a fantasy team win, i.e.  the Wally Backmans and David Ecksteins of the world. Which is fair enough among fantasy-league friends, but added onto the fact that fantasy leaguers will boo their own hometown team if one of its players happens to appear on a fantasy rival&#8217;s roster, and you&#8217;ve got a portrait of a fan who has lost almost every ounce of purchase on the game itself.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark M</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53587</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 17:34:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53587</guid>
		<description>Yes, but Jeff, the extremes of post-Jamesian stat freakery have rejected the in-game tinkering of La Russa (who has himself become an involuntary icon for the old pros brigade), along with the idea that the order in which players bats matter. It's all about whether a GM has assembled the right team.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, but Jeff, the extremes of post-Jamesian stat freakery have rejected the in-game tinkering of La Russa (who has himself become an involuntary icon for the old pros brigade), along with the idea that the order in which players bats matter. It&#8217;s all about whether a GM has assembled the right team.</p>
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		<title>By: jeff w</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53579</link>
		<dc:creator>jeff w</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 17:16:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53579</guid>
		<description>Joe Morgan is far less annoying than Rick Sutcliffe was during this WS.

The Cardinals' WS triumph could be cited in evidence by the stats dogmatists: Tony La Russa constantly changed things around according to the percentages, while the Tigers' Jim Leyland largely kept faith with individuals who in the end came up short.  But I agree with you that the stats can only get you so far.

(I know this wasn't your main point, but I don't think the cricket parallels hold up simply because batsmen and bowlers just can't perform consistently to the degree that baseball players can.  For one thing, cricketers can't really "warm up" in the way that e.g. pitchers do.  And these days, cricketers rarely play day in, day out.  There is also that regular transition from county level to test match level and back, which - within a season anyway - most US baseball players don't experience.  In short, I don't think cricket averages are as useful a barometer as baseball stats tend to be.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joe Morgan is far less annoying than Rick Sutcliffe was during this WS.</p>
<p>The Cardinals&#8217; WS triumph could be cited in evidence by the stats dogmatists: Tony La Russa constantly changed things around according to the percentages, while the Tigers&#8217; Jim Leyland largely kept faith with individuals who in the end came up short.  But I agree with you that the stats can only get you so far.</p>
<p>(I know this wasn&#8217;t your main point, but I don&#8217;t think the cricket parallels hold up simply because batsmen and bowlers just can&#8217;t perform consistently to the degree that baseball players can.  For one thing, cricketers can&#8217;t really &#8220;warm up&#8221; in the way that e.g. pitchers do.  And these days, cricketers rarely play day in, day out.  There is also that regular transition from county level to test match level and back, which - within a season anyway - most US baseball players don&#8217;t experience.  In short, I don&#8217;t think cricket averages are as useful a barometer as baseball stats tend to be.)</p>
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		<title>By: Tim</title>
		<link>http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53575</link>
		<dc:creator>Tim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Nov 2006 17:00:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freakytrigger.co.uk/ft/2006/11/uncle-joe-vs-the-stats-freaks/#comment-53575</guid>
		<description>Football's even worse than the Keeganish motivational mysticism: it treasures the concept of "the football man". TFM understand the world, interpersonal relations and (particularly) the game of soccer in a way which we mere mortals can't understand. The concept serves to justify all kinds of otherwise inexplicable behaviour, but also to suggest that football is ultimately unknowable to outsiders. TFM exists beyond statistics, in fact beyond rationality.

I've heard it said that baseball is fundamentally a machine for generating stats, and that it's in stats that the pleasure in baseball derives. But the only game I ever saw was a huge pile of fun, with the exception of the moment when I was put right out of temper by the appearance near my seat of that hideous freak, Mr. Mets.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Football&#8217;s even worse than the Keeganish motivational mysticism: it treasures the concept of &#8220;the football man&#8221;. TFM understand the world, interpersonal relations and (particularly) the game of soccer in a way which we mere mortals can&#8217;t understand. The concept serves to justify all kinds of otherwise inexplicable behaviour, but also to suggest that football is ultimately unknowable to outsiders. TFM exists beyond statistics, in fact beyond rationality.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve heard it said that baseball is fundamentally a machine for generating stats, and that it&#8217;s in stats that the pleasure in baseball derives. But the only game I ever saw was a huge pile of fun, with the exception of the moment when I was put right out of temper by the appearance near my seat of that hideous freak, Mr. Mets.</p>
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